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Tempo Explain: Mengapa Pasangan Pramono-Rano Karno Bisa Unggul di Pilkada Jakarta?
TempoVideo
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1 year ago
Tempo Explain: Mengapa Pasangan Pramono-Rano Karno Bisa Unggul di Pilkada Jakarta?
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00:00
Guberur No.3 Pramono Anung Rano Karno
00:04
Guberur No.3 Pramono Anung Rano Karno
00:08
is excellent in the election of the head of the district or Jakarta's electoral office.
00:11
The quick count result of a number of institutions for Jakarta's electoral office
00:15
shows that Pramono Rano's victory is above 50%.
00:18
For example, the quick count result of SMRC shows that
00:21
Pramono Rano won 51.03% of the votes,
00:24
Ritwan Suswono 38.8%
00:27
and Dharma Kunwardana 10.17%.
00:30
SMRC calls their quick count margin of error 1.22%.
00:38
The quick count result of SMRC is equivalent to other four institutions,
00:41
namely Carta Politica, Indikator Politik Indonesia,
00:44
Demagasurvey Indonesia and Parameter Politik Indonesia.
00:48
Carta Politica shows that Pramono Rano's victory is above 50.15%,
00:54
Ritwan Suswono 39.25%
00:57
and Dharma Kunwardana 10.60%.
01:00
Indikator Politik Indonesia shows that Pramono Rano's victory is above 49.87%,
01:05
Ritwan Suswono 39.53%
01:08
and Dharma Kunwardana 10.61%.
01:11
SMRC shows that Pramono Rano's victory is above 50.10%,
01:15
Ritwan Suswono 39.29%
01:18
and Dharma Kunwardana 10.61%.
01:21
The margin of error of SMRC is 1-2%.
01:27
The quick count result of these five institutions is not the final result of the Jakarta election.
01:31
The final result of the Jakarta election still refers to the Real Count of the General Election Commission.
01:36
However, usually the quick count result will not be much different from the voice count by the KPU.
01:40
However, the quick count result of the Jakarta election 2024 can be monitored online
01:45
through the website of the KPU until Monday, December 16, 2024.
01:52
Executive Director of Firdika Risky Utama said
01:55
the main key to Pramono Rano's image is the support of two former Jakarta governors,
01:59
Anis Rashid Baswedan and Basuki Cahayapurnama or Ahok.
02:03
Pramono Rano is considered to be able to unite the supporters of Anis and Ahok,
02:06
who were in the Jakarta Democratic Party in 2017.
02:10
Another factor, said Firdika,
02:12
Pramono Rano is able to use influencers and follow the trend of social media such as TikTok.
02:17
The popularity of Rano as a title also stimulated the voice of Pramono Rano's partner.
02:24
In addition, Firdika said Ritwan Suswono's partner lost
02:28
because the Kim Plus expert made various blunders during the campaign.
02:31
For example, Suswono's statement about rich men and unemployed young people
02:35
that aroused public sympathy towards them.
02:37
Firdika also emphasized Ritwan's character as if he supported Presija
02:40
and brought Presija's supporters closer to Jackmania.
02:43
According to Firdika, the former governor of West Java should not seek sympathy in Jackmania by supporting Presija.
02:49
Ritwan should talk enough about the improvement of stadium facilities,
02:52
such as Jakarta International Stadium.
02:57
Strategic Exposite Policy Observer Arief Susanto
03:00
assesses that the winning factor of Pramono Rano is that they have a J2 strategy in bringing voters closer.
03:05
For example, Pramono Rano does not rely on and highlights the fighting confidence in his campaign,
03:10
so that various elements of society are more likely to accept this partner.
03:13
Unlike Ritwan Suswono's strategy, which relies on the support of President Joko Widodo.
03:18
As a result, they are not independent.
03:21
In addition, Arief sees that the party's support engine is not moving as much as possible in the field.
03:30
The Director of Indonesia's Political Indicator Research, Muhammad Adam Kamil, said
03:33
Pramono Rano's excellence cannot be separated from the disappointment of supporters of ANIS against PKS.
03:39
So far, according to Adam, surveys conducted by his agency show that PKS's basis is not solid in supporting Ritwan Suswono.
03:45
Whereas Suswono is a member of PKS.
03:48
Some supporters of PKS are also loyalists of ANIS.
03:50
Therefore, when ANIS supports Pramono Rano, they are eager to choose this partner.
03:59
Pramono Rano responded positively to the quick calculation results of the number of the agency.
04:02
He also thanked the people of Jakarta.
04:05
However, this PDIP politician asked the public to be patient waiting for the results of the official calculation of the KPU.
04:10
Meanwhile, Ritwan Kamil had a quick calculation result.
04:13
He admitted that he was still waiting for the final results of the Jakarta KPU on 16-18 December.
04:19
Ritwan said that if the Jakarta Chief Executive has two rounds in a row,
04:23
his party will evaluate his strategy in the first round.
04:26
About the coalition, campaign methods, and how to respond to Jakarta citizens' communication patterns.
04:32
There are also people who are quite happy to see the quick calculation results of the number of agencies in the Jakarta Chief Executive.
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