00:00The Maharashtra and Jharkhand Legislative Assembly Elections 2024 has begun, and along
00:14with this, all the political parties have also started preparing for victory.
00:18On one side is the India-Gadbandhan and on the other side is the India-Gadbandhan.
00:22In the India-Gadbandhan, everyone knows that all the opposition parties of the country
00:27who are strong in their states will stay there.
00:30If we talk about Maharashtra, then there is Shiv Sena, who is from Uddhav Thakur, and
00:36NCP, who is from Sharad Pawar.
00:38That is a part of the India-Gadbandhan.
00:40And on the other side is the NDA-Gadbandhan.
00:42The NDA is a part of the ruling BJP's support parties.
00:46That is, you can say that Shiv Sena, who is from Shinde, and NCP, who is from Ajit Pawar.
00:52So this fight between India and NDA will be seen again.
00:56If we talk about the fight between these two alliances, then the Lok Sabha election
01:01is won by the NDA-Gadbandhan.
01:03Although, comparatively to back years, that is, compared to the 2019 elections, the numbers
01:08are less, but still the government is made of India.
01:11After that, the elections are held in two states, in Jammu and Kashmir, and then in Haryana.
01:16In Haryana, surprisingly, in an unprecedented way, BJP has made a government there.
01:24Even in Jammu and Kashmir, BJP's numbers have increased.
01:28Congress's numbers have decreased.
01:30So in this way, this is a fight between two alliances.
01:34And in the meantime, Mayawati's Bahujan Samaj Party has made a big call, made a big announcement.
01:40Mayawati has said that BASPA will fight the elections alone in Maharashtra and Jharkhand.
01:44That is, neither will it be a part of the NDA, nor will it be a part of India.
01:48If we talk only about Maharashtra, then in Maharashtra, the NDA is called Mahayuti Gadbandhan,
01:53in which BJP is there, Shiv Sena Shinde Gutt is there, and NCP Ajit Pawar Gutt is there.
01:59On the other hand, Mahavikas Aghadi, i.e. MBA Gutt is there, which is the face of India-Gadbandhan.
02:04In that, Congress is there, Shiv Sena is there, and NCP is there.
02:08Opposition, Shiv Sena and NCP.
02:10So, BASPA Pramukh Mayawati, on the social media platform X, giving this information,
02:15has written very clearly that BSP will fight the elections alone in both these states, Maharashtra and Jharkhand.
02:21And will try that its people, i.e. their own vote bank, the Dalit vote bank,
02:25does not wander here and there, but completely connects with BSP,
02:29and as a charioteer of the self-respecting and self-respecting action of Param Pujya Babasaheb Dr. Ambedkar,
02:35continues his missionary effort to become a leader.
02:39That is, she is asking for that vote in the name of Dr. Ambedkar.
02:42In her post, BASPA Pramukh Mayawati has again written that we expect an impartial election.
02:46Bharat Nirvachan Aayog is conducting the elections in Maharashtra and Jharkhand very soon.
02:50It is getting done in a very short time.
02:52This should be praised.
02:53This will not be able to use the wealth and power that much.
02:56So, BASPA Pramukh Mayawati has made it very clear.
03:00All the political parties, where in this era of Gadbandhan,
03:04they are not able to gather the courage to take a call,
03:07to fight the elections alone, to stay with someone, to stay with them, or to stay with them.
03:11There, this statement of BASPA Pramukh Mayawati is really commendable.
03:15At least, with courage, she has shown her thinking.
03:21You can see all the regional parties.
03:23You can see anyone.
03:25Everyone is trying their best to remain a part of some or the other Gadbandhan.
03:31Because they know that if they do not become a part,
03:34then there will be a problem with their existence and they will be trapped.
03:37No one will ask them.
03:39Our vote bank will be scattered.
03:41We will be trapped in this crucial stage of politics.
03:47There, this step of BASPA is really shocking and people are appreciating it.
03:52But, this is a big problem.
03:55Till when and how many elections will BASPA move ahead on this experiment?
04:01Will BASPA be able to fight the elections alone again and again,
04:05lose again and again, and not get results again and again?
04:09Till when will BASPA survive? This is a big question.
04:13Now, there is a lot of discussion on how Mayawati's party will fight in both the states.
04:18What can BASPA do here?
04:20Whose game can it make and whose game can it spoil?
04:23Although, according to the current situation, BASPA will not be able to do anything.
04:27But, Baujan Samaj Party is a party based on Dalit vote bank.
04:32It is a party that talks about Dalits.
04:34It talks about Dalits.
04:36It talks about Dalits.
04:38It talks about Dalits.
04:40It talks about Dalits.
04:42It talks about Dalits.
04:44It talks about Dalits.
04:46In this case, the role of BASPA is very important.
04:48Not only in Hindi-language states, but also in those places where Dalit population is high.
04:53Maharashtra is also one of them.
04:56In this case, it is very important to know what BASPA can do in Maharashtra.
05:00Although, BASPA's time is going very bad from past few years.
05:04Everyone knows this.
05:06One election, Mayawati has not been able to win from past few years.
05:11In 2019, she won 10 seats of Lok Sabha.
05:13That too with Samajwadi Party.
05:15If we put that aside, BASPA's bad time has been going on since 2014.
05:22And where they have the highest hopes, their record is bad.
05:26Whether it is UP, Haryana or any other state where BASP has its own vote share.
05:30If we put aside Maharashtra, then it is Madhya Pradesh, a state where the election was over.
05:35There also, BASP's hand has not been able to move very far.
05:39Now, it is Maharashtra's turn.
05:41If we talk about 2019, in Maharashtra Vidhan Sabha elections, BASP had won 262 seats out of 288.
05:49Although, BASP was not able to make a big impact here.
05:51The party did not win even a single seat.
05:53And the vote percentage was less than 1%.
05:56It was around 10.91%.
05:58In those elections, Mayawati had participated in Maharashtra elections and also gave time.
06:02But, it did not make a big impact.
06:04But, remember, vote share was 1%.
06:06In 2014 Vidhan Sabha elections, BASP had won 281 seats out of 281.
06:13In that election also, Mayawati did not get any seat.
06:16But, vote share was around this.
06:19Now, you can understand that Congress and other parties are worried about this.
06:25Where there is a fight of thorns, a fight for unity.
06:28If 1% vote share is here and there, the results of the elections change.
06:32You can see Haryana.
06:35There is not much difference in Haryana between Congress and BJP.
06:39But, with such a small difference, the entire calculation changes.
06:46Congress was preparing to take an oath.
06:49All the politicians were preparing to get their clothes stitched.
06:53But, now the oath will be of BJP.
06:57The government will be of BJP.
06:59So, if 1% vote share is here and there, the entire government changes.
07:04People's expectations break.
07:06In such a situation, BJP's fight alone,
07:10And, if we assume that after the last two elections,
07:131% vote share or even less than this,
07:16that is also a lot.
07:18In every small assembly, 2-4 thousand people lose or win the elections.
07:24So, in such a situation, the role of BJP cannot be overlooked at once.
07:29Now, the question is, how will the votes of Congress and other parties remain stable?
07:36So, this will be a big challenge for PASPA.
07:40How to maintain its vote bank.
07:43And, how other parties will keep an eye on its vote bank.
07:46How to avoid losses from BSP.
07:50I will give you an example of that.
07:52When the elections were held in 2019,
07:55BSP did not win there.
07:57But, in some areas, if I take one area,
07:59in Vidarbha, BSP's vote share was around 8%.
08:03That means, in the areas of Dalit Bahul Abadi,
08:05the party of Mayoti is influential.
08:07And, that game cannot be made.
08:09But, it can be spoiled.
08:11If Mayoti got 8% vote in Vidarbha,
08:13then you can assume that 8% vote is a lot.
08:16In the whole of Maharashtra, if we get 1% vote,
08:18then 1% vote, where there is a fight of thorns,
08:22Mahavikas Agadi, Mahayoti,
08:256-6 parties are fighting each other in the elections.
08:28There, 1% vote is a lot.
08:31If the game cannot be made, then it can be spoiled.
08:33So, for Mayoti, the strongest turf in the coming time
08:36is of Maharashtra to prove itself.
08:38And, she can become a kingmaker.
08:40If her vote share is such that
08:42if she gets some seats,
08:44or if she can swing her vote share somewhere,
08:46then the game can be spoiled for someone
08:48and someone can win.
08:50From Maharashtra's 288 constituent seats,
08:53votes will be cast on 1st, 4th, 20th November only.
08:56So, in this respect, it is going to be very important
08:59that votes will be cast on 20th November.
09:01From today onwards,
09:03there is about a month's time left.
09:05So, there is a lot of time for Mayoti
09:07to prove herself.
09:09On the other hand, Jharkhand,
09:11there will be elections in two stages.
09:13There are 818 constituent seats.
09:15On 13th and 20th November,
09:17votes will be cast on 23rd November.
09:19Results will be announced at both places.
09:21But, even in Jharkhand,
09:23BSP's population is not that big.
09:25But, due to Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh,
09:27BSP has its own cadre vote.
09:29It will also cast such votes.
09:31There are small constituencies.
09:33So, there will be small wins and losses.
09:35So, from today,
09:37BSP cannot be ignored.
09:39At least, it cannot be overlooked
09:41from those political parties.
09:43There are parties from states,
09:45but their population is not that big.
09:47BSP comes in Hindi heartland,
09:49but its population is big in many states of the country.
09:51Because, it talks about Dalits
09:53and Dalits are all over the country.
09:55Even in Maharashtra,
09:57there is a good number of Dalits.
09:59So, from this perspective,
10:01BJP's eyes are on these two elections.
10:03There have been two major shocks
10:05in the last 4-5 months.
10:07One is Lok Sabha's election.
10:09The other is Haryana's election.
10:11But, BSP wants to get out of this.
10:13It wants to get out of Mayawati.
10:15But, then the same condition came.
10:17We will fight alone.
10:19We will fight with strength.
10:21And, we will try to get results.
10:23Some people are saying that
10:25fighting alone in the elections
10:27is like a battle between two big wars.
10:29But, Mayawati has taken this decision.
10:31So, what will be the
10:33bad consequences of this decision?
10:35Time will tell.
10:37Some will win, some will lose.
10:39But, what will happen to Mayawati?
10:41This is something to think about.
10:43This election will end
10:45and then Delhi's Vidhan Sabha election will come.
10:47In Delhi, BSP has more scope.
10:49So, Mayawati's strategy
10:51is slow and steady.
10:53Keep walking slowly.
10:55You will get your goal and results.
10:57It will take some time.
10:59Mayawati is walking on the same path.
11:01Now, we will have to see
11:03how easy or difficult
11:05her path will be.
11:07Or, how difficult it will be for others.
11:09This is something to think about.
11:11What do you think?
11:13How good is the thought of BSP and Mayawati
11:15to fight the elections alone?
11:17Will they be able to achieve their goal?
11:19Or,
11:21are they fighting to ruin someone's game?
11:23What do you think?
11:25Do comment and let us know.
11:27Keep watching DailyLive.
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