00:00Hello and welcome to the Met Office 10 day trend. We are approaching the end of the meteorological
00:05summer, a summer that has been characterised by long periods of unsettled weather and brief
00:11interludes of hot sunshine. Sure enough, following a weekend of hot sunshine, it's now turning
00:17unsettled once again. But only through to the end of August and very start of September
00:23because next week begins to look a little quieter again. It's neither going to be particularly
00:28hot nor is it going to be particularly unsettled. In fact, it will feel much cooler, but it
00:34will have that early autumn sort of vibe that we often have at the beginning of September.
00:39It certainly won't be feeling like summer, which is what it felt like at the weekend.
00:45That hot weather now clearing to the east. You can see the red colours to the east of
00:48the UK and a cold front at the time of recording crossing the country, moving its way in and
00:55opening the door to a much more active jet stream and that jet stream to the west of
01:00the UK carrying with it areas of low pressure, weather fronts and much cooler air. You can
01:06see the weather fronts lined up there out to the west of us. They're going to roll in
01:10over the next few days, turning the weather much more unsettled, particularly in the northwest
01:15and further south and east. We're going to experience the cooler air. It's certainly
01:19going to be a fresh start across eastern and southern Britain with temperatures lower compared
01:24to recent days across northern and western areas, cloudier skies, showers crossing the
01:30country. But most of the showers will be across central and western Scotland, Northern Ireland
01:34as well, where they'll be heavy and frequent. Elsewhere, a lot of dry weather continuing,
01:38but certainly feeling a little bit different there for East Anglia in the southeast with
01:43temperatures down 10 degrees or so compared to the start of the week. Pleasant enough
01:48afternoon on Thursday nevertheless in the southeast, turning a lot more unsettled once
01:52again as we head into Friday, the isobars tightening there in the northwest and a weather
01:58front moving in. And that weather front, actually you can see it's aligned with the isobars
02:01and that means that the winds are running along it rather than pushing it through. And
02:06that means that once that weather front arrives in northwestern Britain on Friday morning,
02:10it's there to stay for some time, more than 24 hours in fact. The blues there indicate
02:15the rainfall, some brighter colours here indicate some heavier pulses of rainfall as this weather
02:21front ripples and wriggles across northwestern Britain. Through Friday and into the start
02:27of the weekend, it's just going to be wet, particularly for western Scotland and Cumbria.
02:33Now in these locations, 20 to 40 millimetres of rainfall widely, but in some spots over
02:39the tops of the hills for example, more than 100 millimetres is possible. Dumfries and
02:44Galloway, a risk of localised flooding here in particular, yellow warning in force through
02:48Friday and into Saturday. But elsewhere, if we rewind the clock, for Friday for example,
02:55central and southern Britain largely escapes that rainfall and there'll be plenty of bright
03:00weather as well. With that brightness comes some warmth, 24 Celsius in the southeast on
03:05Friday and possibly even 25 degrees as we start to back the winds and bring in some
03:12extra warmth from the continent on Saturday, but only ahead of this band of rain because
03:17after it's dumped a load of moisture over northwestern hills, it then finally crosses
03:22the country at the start of the weekend. So a spell of wet weather moving its way across
03:26Britain on Saturday, followed by showers but also by much cooler air across Scotland and
03:33Northern Ireland and then elsewhere into Sunday. The jet stream dipping to the south of the
03:40UK for Saturday night and into Sunday and that means it will be another cool start on
03:45Sunday and with that jet stream to the south, the cool air on top of us, we're also going
03:50to see frequent heavy showers throughout Sunday. Some really lively downpours particularly
03:56across northern Britain and these various weather fronts bringing more prolonged rainfall
04:00at times as well, but in between there will be some drier and brighter interludes. That
04:06dip in the jet stream doesn't actually last that long because you can see how the jet
04:09stream then starts to nudge a bit further north at the start of next week and high pressure
04:13builds in across southwestern Britain in particular by Tuesday. There'll still be areas
04:19of rain or showers crossing northwestern parts of the country. In fact, some of this could
04:24bring further wet weather to western Scotland, northwest England and Northern Ireland for
04:28around Tuesday and early Wednesday. But on the whole, the jet stream will be allowing
04:34high pressure to build in from the southwest a bit more as we go into next week and that
04:41means that around Wednesday time we're looking at rain clearing to showers across the north,
04:47high pressure bringing more settled weather into southern and southwestern areas. And
04:52there's a possibility around Thursday, Friday that that high pressure will build more widely
04:56across the country, albeit in relatively cool air and that means there'll be some cool nights
05:03and temperatures will be around average by day, but it also means there'll be plenty
05:08of fine weather, a lot of dry conditions, particularly in the south. But as we go through
05:13next week and into the following weekend, always the possibility that the jet stream
05:18will bring low pressure close to the northwest of the country. So all in all, with the jet
05:23stream tending to be towards the more northern part of the UK, the weather's looking a little
05:30more settled next week and any rain will be mainly across northwestern areas, western
05:36Scotland, northwest England, Northern Ireland. Mainly in the south it'll be fine, there'll
05:40be some cool nights, some misty mornings as well, but plenty of mellow sunshine by day.
05:47So early September and that early autumn sort of weather that we often get at this time
05:53of year. But of course if you want more details you can follow us on social media and keep
05:58up to date with all the very latest weather news. That's all for me, bye bye.
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