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Paras Defence: Order Inflow Outlook | NDTV Profit
NDTV Profit
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5/28/2024
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00:00
And Amit Mahajan, Director of Technical and R&D,
00:02
Powers, Defense and Space Technologies,
00:04
joins us on the show.
00:05
Amit, good having you.
00:06
Thanks for joining in.
00:08
Good afternoon.
00:09
And while it's been a year which has been--
00:14
well, from the promise that you give,
00:16
maybe a bit flattish, 10-odd percent growth,
00:19
it's quarter four which is intriguing,
00:21
because you've shown, let's say, growth
00:25
to an extent on the top line, not that great but there.
00:30
But the margin squeeze has been very, very sharp.
00:33
Now, what's led to this, Amit?
00:36
Firstly, good afternoon.
00:37
And thank you for--
00:40
your analysis is absolutely correct.
00:43
All the reasons for this, I would
00:45
like to mention it very startlingly,
00:47
is all positive reasons.
00:49
Why?
00:50
One is the defense engineering, if you see,
00:54
has outperformed themselves.
00:55
There are two verticals, optics and optronic systems
00:58
and defense engineering.
00:59
So defense engineering has taken 73% on our revenues,
01:03
wherein optics and optronic systems have gone down to 23%.
01:06
The primary reason for this is one particular product, which
01:10
is a very high-value product, which
01:11
is supposed to go in Q4, will now go in Q1 of this year.
01:16
Now, this shift has hampered the revenue, the total revenue,
01:21
also the revenue percentages, and also profitability,
01:24
because that is--
01:25
optics and optronic systems contribute largely to my problem.
01:28
So this is the reason why I say it's positive,
01:30
because if you ask me defense engineering team,
01:32
they are rejoicing because they have outperformed.
01:34
They've done much better than the last.
01:36
The second reason for slightly lower profitability
01:39
is because there are two.
01:42
One is we have augmented our employees.
01:46
The employee cost would have gone 30% higher.
01:48
And that you can see in the balance sheet.
01:51
The second is the Antitron Systems subsidiary of ours.
01:56
We've invested heavily in the R&D part.
01:58
They're coming out with some wonderful products.
02:01
All of the revenues we'll be able to see
02:03
in the coming year onwards.
02:05
But till last year, all that we've invested just
02:08
is like a loss.
02:09
And those loss gets carried forward to the parent company.
02:14
And hence, in console, you will see a lot of loss effect
02:17
of the subsidies, where the expense is happening on the R&D,
02:20
but the revenues aren't being done.
02:22
So I consider all of this as positive effect.
02:26
You will be able to see the positive effect
02:29
and the positive results in the coming days.
02:33
Amit, OK, and thanks for the clarification.
02:37
Just some questions out there.
02:39
This is Neeraj here, of course, with me, my colleague, Harsh.
02:42
But when I look at what you've done, not just in quarter four,
02:47
so first question, are you saying
02:49
that because this didn't get executed in quarter four,
02:51
but will get executed in quarter one,
02:54
operational metrics or margins could
02:55
revert to much higher numbers than the 20% for the quarter?
02:59
Part two of my question is that when
03:02
I look at the last two or three years,
03:04
your operational margins have dipped from circa 30-odd
03:10
to circa 20-odd.
03:11
Do you envisage margins going back to those levels?
03:15
Or that may not be the case?
03:20
OK, so the dip has only been in the last year.
03:23
If you see the last couple of years,
03:24
we've kind of sustained our margins.
03:28
And I would also want to mention that the sustenance of margin
03:31
also, if you ask me, is on the conservative side.
03:34
Leave aside the dip.
03:35
The dip is not envisaged at all.
03:37
But the events, like I told you, they affect the margins.
03:41
When I'm saying this, in the coming year,
03:43
I will not only sustain the old margins,
03:46
but I might slightly do better.
03:49
You mean 30-odd percent level ballpark?
03:53
Between 28% to 30%.
03:54
Between 28% to 30%.
03:55
OK, and you believe that for the year at large,
03:57
you could be between 28% to 30%?
04:00
Starting from quarter one?
04:02
Do not look at us as quarter company.
04:04
Got it.
04:04
Yeah, of course.
04:05
But I'm just trying to understand.
04:06
Quarter one looks very, very good.
04:09
But I don't know how the remaining three quarters are.
04:11
OK.
04:12
But on an average, you say between 28% to 30%.
04:15
OK.
04:16
All right.
04:18
OK, so Amit, could you just give us
04:20
a perspective on optics versus defense?
04:23
What are the margins like for each of those?
04:25
Defense trades at a margin of 20%, 15%, 20%.
04:33
And optics trades at a margin of 30-plus percent.
04:38
So--
04:39
Understood.
04:39
And with this new vertical of--
04:43
possibly it's part of defense itself, drone,
04:46
what kind of margins and what kind of contribution
04:49
will it have to revenue going forward?
04:52
With the drone and the anti-drone,
04:53
these are two subsidies of the company.
04:55
And they independently operate.
04:58
The drone market, yes, is having a good set of margins
05:02
somewhere between the optics and the electronics vertical.
05:07
The anti-drone system, when it starts kicking up,
05:10
it will come closer to the optics margins
05:13
because they are highly valuated, quite complex products,
05:17
but very good margins.
05:22
OK, OK.
05:22
And what's the visibility like going forward
05:29
in terms of opportunities and order wins
05:31
and the book that you currently have, just in terms of size?
05:36
So if you look at--
05:37
Paras has been blessed with a solid order book.
05:40
And the smiles on my face--
05:43
and I want people to draw positivity out of this--
05:46
is the company has strong order book,
05:49
has a funnel which is in excess of 2,000 crores.
05:54
And when I'm saying strong order book,
05:56
it is in excess of 600 crores already.
05:58
I'm not even counting the orders which are L1.
06:01
And they are in the pipeline.
06:02
They are yet to come.
06:03
I'm not even talking about that.
06:05
So the business front is very, very strong.
06:10
Yes, we are going from component business
06:12
to a product business.
06:14
This leads to a higher value added value per product.
06:18
And if that product, for some reason,
06:20
which is not within the control of us or our customers,
06:23
some third party reasons, this can just--
06:27
they don't know what a quarter means, right?
06:29
So this can go from Q4 to Q1.
06:32
And that can have this effect.
06:34
We need to wait till it settles down.
06:37
But the coming year looks good.
06:39
Understood.
06:40
So let's look at it annually.
06:41
What's the kind of compounded growth you are looking at?
06:45
Because you've got such good visibility
06:47
in terms of the order book.
06:49
What's the growth like in terms of compounded growth
06:52
over the next one to two years that one can expect?
06:55
I am going to be very, very conservative,
06:58
because I have not done what I should have been doing
07:01
for the last two years.
07:02
So I will still maintain 20% to 30% as growth.
07:06
Even if I say 30%, it's still going to be conservative.
07:09
So 20% to 30% is the growth that I want to give a guidance of.
07:14
But [INAUDIBLE]
07:18
Understood.
07:18
And optics versus defense, what's
07:20
the mix like in terms of order book mix?
07:22
If you can quickly--
07:23
Order book is 50-50.
07:24
Order book is 50-50.
07:25
Understood.
07:26
Understood.
07:27
Yes.
07:28
Orders are yet to come in, which we
07:29
expect to come any time in this financial year.
07:32
So the order book shall go slightly inclined
07:35
towards optics as the year progresses.
07:38
OK.
07:38
So, Amit, one final question from my end.
07:42
What else is happening?
07:43
Because you've spoken about anti-drone and drone
07:46
systems for the last 12, 18 months.
07:48
They have now come to fruition.
07:50
What else is in the offing, something
07:52
that you can disclose which could be a big part of what
07:54
Paras will do over the next 18 to 24 months?
07:58
I wouldn't say 18 to 24 months.
08:00
Yes, we've brewed the coffee long enough for it to now--
08:04
it's the time for us to sip.
08:05
But if you take me beyond, say, 36 months,
08:09
if you look at the Quantico Technologies,
08:12
a subsidiary, 100% of our own subsidiary of Paras,
08:14
which we have formed recently, if you look at that,
08:18
then quantum communication is one area
08:20
that Paras will be entering to in the near future.
08:22
That is going to take Paras defense over and beyond that
08:26
we have ever thought ourselves to be.
08:28
So this is going to be the game changer for the company.
08:31
Along with that, the JV that we have with Contro,
08:34
which is the world's number one UIR company,
08:38
this will start making good inroads
08:41
into the Indian business.
08:42
In the coming future, you will be
08:44
able to notice that this particular JV will back
08:48
some real nice good orders.
08:50
And obviously, a large sum of that business
08:53
will be brought back to Paras defense
08:55
because Paras defense will contribute
08:57
to the indigenous content of whatever Contro Paras does.
09:00
So it's a good amount of mix that we are looking at.
09:06
And this will propel the company into a solid UIR company, one.
09:11
And second, it will also propel us
09:14
into quantum communication domain
09:16
where you won't find many people around the globe.
09:19
Well, we wish you all the best for that, all the process,
09:23
per se, and maybe in a couple of years' time,
09:26
we'll be able to maybe talk about numbers, too.
09:28
Who knows?
09:29
You said 36 months.
09:30
Let's hope it's sooner.
09:31
Thanks a lot, Amit, for joining in today
09:33
and giving us the perspective.
09:34
[MUSIC PLAYING]
09:37
(electronic music)
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