00:00 Russia is preparing for a large-scale conventional conflict with NATO, says the Institute for
00:08 the Study of War, after having analysed several Russian financial, economic and military indicators.
00:15 The think tank notes this won't happen imminently, but likely on a shorter timeline than what
00:21 some Western analysts have initially posited.
00:24 Vladimir Putin is likely attempting to set conditions to stabilise Russia's long-term
00:28 financial position at a higher level of government expenditure, while the Russian military continues
00:33 to undertake structural reforms to simultaneously support the war in Ukraine, while expanding
00:39 Russia's conventional capabilities in the long term in preparation for a potential future
00:43 large-scale conflict with NATO.
00:47 Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu outlined several ongoing efforts to bolster Russia's
00:51 conventional military capabilities.
00:53 He also claimed that the Russian military plans to form two combined arms armies, 14
00:59 divisions and 16 brigades by the end of 2024.
01:03 The Institute for the Study of War continues to assess that Russia currently lacks the
01:08 manpower, military infrastructure and training capacity to properly staff several entirely
01:14 new divisions to army-level formations to full strength in the immediate to medium term.
01:21 [SWOOSH]
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