八点最热报 | 近几个月有关砂拉越团结党准备解散，并入民进党的消息甚嚣尘上，而团结党主席黄顺舸早前也宣布，明天将会召开特别代表大会。虽然他没有透露这场大会的议程，但坊间已经有风声透露，团结党已经选好日期，准备在农历正月初八这个大好日子宣布解散，并入民进党，完成一场政治联姻。团结党为什么要解散，加入民进党？这场政治联姻，又会对砂拉越政治造成什么影响呢？（主播：颜江瀚）
Category
🗞
NewsTranscript
00:00 Before watching the video, I remind you that there is more content on the Hotpoint website.
00:05 In recent months, the news of the Sharla Yue-Tuanjie Party's plan to dissolve and join the Democratic People's Party has been widely spread.
00:12 And the chairman of the Tuanjie Party, Huang Shunge, also announced earlier that a special representative meeting would be held tomorrow.
00:18 Although he did not disclose the agenda of this meeting, there is already a rumor in the room that the Tuanjie Party has already chosen a date.
00:27 He said that he was going to announce the dissolution of the party on the 8th of the lunar month and join the Democratic People's Party to complete a political marriage.
00:35 With the dissolution of the Tuanjie Party and the joining of Sharla Yue, the GPS of the Political Party Alliance has become one of the members of the Democratic People's Party.
00:42 This means that the "Zaiye" camp will soon be left with only the Sharla Yue Action Party.
00:47 If the Tuanjie Party joins the political marriage of the three parties, the Sharla Yue Parliament will have more than 80 seats.
00:58 This will form a one-party dictatorship. Is this a good thing for Sharla Yue politics?
01:04 Why does the Tuanjie Party want to dissolve and join the Democratic People's Party?
01:07 What impact will this political marriage have on the political conversation of Sharla Yue?
01:12 Huang Jinfa, a political scholar at the University of Shangwei, pointed out during an interview with the Eighth Political Report that the Tuanjie Party joining the Democratic People's Party is actually forced to do so.
01:20 Because he said that the days of being against the party and the days of "Zaiye" are too hard.
01:25 If the Tuanjie Party wants to join the state government, one of the choices is to return to the People's Party.
01:32 But because the Tuanjie Party and the People's Party have too deep grudges,
01:35 the Tuanjie Party, led by Zhang Qingxin, is relatively more reliable in terms of face.
01:43 Azmi Hasan, a political scholar at the University of Guangdong, said that the Tuanjie Party joining the Democratic People's Party as a member of the Sharla Yue Party will make the Sharla Yue Party stronger.
01:51 He is worried that this one-party dictatorship will put the Sharla Yue Parliament in a situation where there is no opposition to the party and the state government.
02:00 The Tuanjie Party is about to join the Democratic People's Party, which is equivalent to the island brother joining the Sharla Yue state government.
02:05 Will this move oppose the anti-skipping law, which will lead to the Tuanjie Party's need to carry out a re-election of the three states that are currently in the air?
02:13 The director of the University of Tasmania, Asia Research Institute, Zhang Yunhao, believes that this political marriage will not oppose the anti-skipping law.
02:21 Because these members are joining the new political party after the dissolution of the party.
02:26 Therefore, the anti-skipping law is not applicable here.
02:31 The reason why the Sharla Yue Tuanjie Party wants to cooperate with the Democratic People's Party is because it wants to return to the government.
02:38 But the Sharla Yue Party clearly does not want it to come in.
02:42 So its choice is to return to the Democratic People's Party.
02:46 That is equivalent to bowing to the Democratic People's Party.
02:48 Relatively speaking, it is more likely to accept Zhang Qingxin's leadership.
02:53 Most of the supporters are from the rural areas. And if you represent a rural area in Sarawak without government money, it's very difficult for your political party to survive.
03:03 So I don't think anybody in Sarawak is surprised by the fact that they're going to dissolve, probably tomorrow, in order to join the GPS.
03:11 This means that GPS in Sarawak controls more than 98% of all the seats in the Dewan Wendangan degree, which means that effectively there is no more opposition in Sarawak.
03:21 The political scholars of the University of Sarawak, Huang Jinfa and the director of the Asia Research Institute of Tasmania University in Australia, Zhan Yunhao, all pointed out that the Sharla Yue Tuanjie Party joined the Democratic People's Party because it was too sad to be in the wild.
03:33 And with the Tuanjie Party becoming a part of the Democratic People's Party, it means that the opposition only has two seats left in the Sharla Yue Action Party.
03:40 The Sharla Yue Political Alliance, GPS, has become the national political party of the year, and has become the political camp of the first party.
03:47 The political scholar Azmi Hassan believes that the Sharla Yue Parliament will become a one-man party.
03:52 That's what worried me, because when you are too strong, there are no counter-proposals.
03:58 So whatever, especially Abang Jo, the Premier said, Sarawak people will accept it. It's not good. But again, that's the reality of Sarawak politics.
04:08 Azmi Hassan and Zhan Yunhao pointed out that the Tuanjie Party joined the Democratic People's Party to further expand the Sharla Yue political force.
04:15 But Huang Jinfa believes that the Tuanjie Party has a Chinese and non-Muslim vote, and the Tuanjie Party is united.
04:21 This means that the Democratic People's Party will compete with the Humanitarian Party, which originally competed with the Daya people's vote, and the Humanitarian Party, which will compete with the Chinese people's vote.
04:31 If this is the case, it is equivalent to saying that the Democratic People's Party and the Daya people are combined, plus the help of the Humanitarian Party, then its power will surpass the Humanitarian Party.
04:43 Because the Humanitarian Party actually went on a decline route in 2006.
04:49 It was only in the 2015 election that it had the support of the then Chief of State Anand Satim, so it barely had a chance to rebound.
04:59 But if you look at the election, the Chinese community is mainly still the West, especially the people of the Democratic People's Party.
05:06 The Humanitarian Party has not fully recovered yet, and it is facing the stronghold of the Democratic People's Party.
05:13 Then it will lose to the West.
05:19 The Democratic People's Party may open its mouth and increase the number of seats according to the past national policy.
05:25 Through increasing the number of seats, it will appease the members who are in a state of disarray.
05:30 After the United Front joined the Democratic People's Party, the United Front supporters who originally voted against the party would not be the only opposition party to turn around and make the Salang Yue Action Party benefit from it.
05:41 Azmi Hassan does not think that the Action Party as an eastern political party cannot attract the votes of the United Front.
05:47 It cannot make a profit in the political marriage between the United Front and the Democratic People's Party.
05:51 On the contrary, Zhan Yuntao pointed out that the real party that can benefit from it is the Republican Party, because they are more likely to attract the support of the Daya people.
05:59 The thing is that the Sarawak voters see DAP as the Malaya party.
06:03 Yes, they did very well before this, but GPS is getting stronger by the day.
06:08 And with the latest decision by PSB, GPS will be stronger, whether in the state legislature or in parliament, national level.
06:18 And more so because DAP is part of the Datuk Seri Anwar government, and Datuk Seri Anwar doesn't want to poke Abang Joe.
06:25 So in this case, if you add everything, DAP is going to be finding it very difficult to find a foothold, as before in Sarawak.
06:33 No, the DAP is unlikely to benefit politically from this move.
06:38 The reason is because the people who vote for PSB, the Daya community, they are unlikely to vote for the DAP.
06:44 So in terms of the party that will benefit most from PSB entering GPS is actually PKR, because PKR has quite a large Daya wing.
06:54 So people who vote for PSB as an opposition party in the rural areas, they may shift their votes to PKR in the next state election.
07:03 Huang Jinfa, a political scholar at Shuangwei University, pointed out that without the "United Party" as a choice,
07:11 some dissatisfied Chinese voters may prefer to choose the "Birds of a Feather" or "Civil Party".
07:18 But because these small parties are not yet in the climate, so the "Action Party" can get some advantages in the fight for Chinese voters.
07:26 But he believes that the "Shaman" has already made comprehensive preparations on the "Action Party" in the siege.
07:32 Although he is also a member of the "United Government", he does not allow the "Sarawak Action Party" to obtain any official position.
07:38 Ensure that the "Action Party" has no official resources to consolidate its own support.
07:42 Huang Jinfa also said that after the former chief of the "Sarawak Action Party", Adnan, took office, the "Sarawak Action Party" began to develop and strengthen its autonomy.
07:50 Therefore, when the "Shaman" negotiated with the federal government,
07:54 the most desired goal was not to let the "Semiconductor Party" stand in the "Sarawak Action Party",
07:59 but to develop "Sarawak Action Party" with its own strength and hand over the political achievements,
08:02 so that they can form an effective "One-Part Unitary Government" like the "Singapore People's Action Party".
08:10 Thank you for watching.
08:14 For more information, please visit www.fema.gov.uk
08:18 [BLANK_AUDIO]