भारत की अर्थव्यवस्था लगातार बढ़िया प्रदर्शन कर रही है. अभी जब दुनिया भर में आर्थिक वृद्धि की रफ्तार सुस्त है, भारत तेजी से तरक्की कर रहा है. IMF समेत कई एजेंसियों ने भारत को ग्लोबल ग्रोथ का इंजन बताया है. लेकिन इसके साथ ही देश पर कर्ज का बोझ भी बढ़ता जा रहा है, ये हम नहीं कह रहे बल्कि आंकड़े बता रहे हैं. सब अच्छी खबरों की बीच आईएमएफ ने एक खतरनाक ट्रेंड की तरफ इशारा किया है और भारत को सचेत किया है. आईएमएफ का यह इशारा है जीडीपी पर कसते कर्ज के शिकंजे की तरफ.
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00:07 Many agencies have called India a global growth engine.
00:11 But the burden of debt is increasing.
00:16 And these are not our words, but the statistics.
00:19 IMF has pointed to a dangerous trend.
00:23 And has alerted India.
00:25 IMF is pointing to the decline of GDP.
00:30 What are the details?
00:32 Is India's debt increasing?
00:34 Let's know in detail in this video.
00:36 Hi, this is Bhavna and you are watching Good Return.
00:39 IMF has recently reported on India's debt.
00:43 IMF is suspicious that in the medium term,
00:45 India's government debt will increase to a level
00:49 that can exceed the country's GDP.
00:52 That means the total government debt can exceed 100% of the country's GDP.
00:57 India's debt to GDP ratio is around 80% in the last two decades.
01:02 In the financial year 2005-2006, this ratio was 81%.
01:06 That means the total government debt was 81% of the country's GDP.
01:11 In the middle, this ratio increased to 84% in 2021-22.
01:16 But in 2022-23, this ratio again decreased to 81%.
01:21 That means the total government debt is now 81% of the country's GDP.
01:25 And this level was also there in 2005-2006.
01:29 India's total government debt increased to 2.47 trillion dollars in July-September.
01:35 That means it has become 205 lakh crore rupees.
01:38 However, the increase in dollar value has also affected.
01:42 This has helped to increase the debt data.
01:45 In the January-March quarter of the previous financial year,
01:49 the total debt was 2.34 trillion dollars, which is around 200 lakh crore rupees.
01:54 It was said that the central government's debt was 161.1 lakh crore rupees in the September quarter,
02:00 which was 150.4 lakh crore rupees in the March quarter.
02:04 That means it has increased.
02:05 It has also been said that the total government debt is 50.18 lakh crore rupees.
02:13 In this duration, the impact of the increase in the US dollar has also affected the debt data.
02:18 Actually, we can also understand it in this way that in March 2023,
02:22 the dollar was equal to 1.82.5441 rupees, which has now increased to 83.152506 rupees.
02:33 This report has been prepared on the basis of the figures collected from RBI, CCI and SEBI.
02:40 It has been said that the central government has a total debt of 161.1 lakh crore rupees, which is 46.04%.
02:51 Apart from this, the shareholding of the states, i.e. 50.18 lakh crore rupees, is 24.4%.
02:58 The report also gives the figure of fiscal spending, which is 9.25 lakh crore rupees,
03:04 and this is 4.51% of the total debt.
03:07 Apart from this, in the second quarter of the current financial year,
03:11 the shareholding of the corporate bond in the total debt was 21.52%, which is 44.16 lakh crore rupees.
03:19 On the economic growth front, IMF has said that the risk is balanced for India.
03:24 Along with this, the International Monetary Fund has increased the estimate of India's growth rate from 6% to 6.3% in the medium term.
03:32 For this, the agency has said that the better state of capital expenditure and employment is more than expected.
03:39 The IMF has also warned India about the debt.
03:42 The Global Body has said that the general government debt of India can reach more than 100% of GDP in the medium term by combining the central and state governments.
03:51 In this case, it may be difficult to pay off the debt in the long term.
03:55 However, the central government has expressed disagreement on this IMF report.
03:59 And they believe that the risk is much less than the government debt because most of the debt is in Indian currency.
04:06 If we talk about the challenges of Indian economy,
04:09 then on the external front, India may have to face some problems in the near future due to the global slowdown.
04:15 The prices of commodities may be volatile due to disruption in the global supply chain,
04:19 which can increase the fiscal pressure on India.
04:22 The domestic front may be again affected by the weather.
04:26 Due to this, the country may have to take the support of restrictions on food export.
04:31 On the other hand, it is better than expected to get support for economic growth rate from consumer demand and private investment.
04:38 So, IMF says that the debt on India can be more than 100% of GDP, which is actually a scary thing.
04:47 Although, this positive also comes from the IMF that India's economy can very soon become the third largest economy in the world.
04:56 But this news is a little shocking and alarming.
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