Heavy rain returns this weekend in Wales: Met Office weather forecast

Tindle News

The Met Office has issued a yellow weather warning for rain this weekend.  Video courtesy of the Met Office.

Transcript

00:00 Hello, very good day to you. After a bit of a tease with some drier weather on Friday,

00:05 it's not good news if that's what you're after for the weekend's forecast as it is going

00:09 to turn more unsettled again. Looking at the jet stream and as we've seen through much

00:13 of the last few weeks, it is generally running from west to east and across the UK and it's

00:18 this that's led to a number of low pressure systems coming across the UK through recent

00:24 times. Nothing out of the ordinary for the time of year, though it has been particularly

00:28 stormy. And yes, continuing in that theme as we go into the weekend, that jet stream

00:32 driving a low pressure system out in the Atlantic and another weather system that is going to

00:38 bring some very wet and windy weather. Initially a warm front towards the south and this does

00:43 what it says on the tin and as much as, as well as the wind and the rain, we are going

00:47 to see our temperatures lifting into Saturday. After an initially chilly start to the night

00:52 Friday into Saturday, we are going to see our temperatures rising. So by the time many

00:57 of us wake up, particularly towards the southwest, temperatures will already be in double figures.

01:02 But it is going to be a wet and windy start today for many of us. The heaviest rain through

01:06 the morning likely to be across parts of South Wales and southwest England. Here with heavily

01:11 saturated ground, we're likely to see some further issues with a bit more flooding and

01:15 some disruption to travel. But the heaviest, more persistent rain does clear eastwards

01:19 as we go through the afternoon, something a bit drier following in behind across parts

01:24 of England and Wales. Perhaps some brightness, but on the whole it is going to stay quite

01:29 cloudy and showery outbreaks pushing in across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland in

01:33 particular. Some strong blustery winds, particularly in exposed coastal parts, risk of gales, which

01:39 will add to that wet and windy theme for many of us. It will also take the edge of the temperatures,

01:44 which although on paper are a little bit above average for the time of year with highs around

01:48 15 or 16 Celsius for some of us, in the wind it's going to feel several degrees colder

01:53 than that. As we go into Sunday and we see that weather system then clearing away towards

01:58 the east, but we are still heavily under the influence of a deep area of low pressure just

02:03 to the north of the UK. Tightly packed ice bars indicate that it is going to stay windy

02:08 for many of us and various occluded features coming across bring the focus of showery rain.

02:14 So Sunday, yes, it's going to be a showery day for many of us. You'll never be too far

02:18 away from some dark clouds with sunshine really at a premium, some brighter spells in between

02:23 the showers for some of us, but not all by any means. The heavier showers likely to be

02:28 across western parts of Scotland, western England into Wales, particularly over the

02:31 higher ground. We're likely to see some higher totals, perhaps building up even some heavier

02:35 showers across parts of Northern Ireland. And there's a chance of some thunder mixed

02:39 in with these and still those strong gusty winds, gales in exposed parts, perhaps even

02:44 some gales towards the northeast of the UK later on in the day. Temperatures still a

02:49 little bit above average for the time of year, but down a degree or two compared to Saturday

02:54 with highs around 14 Celsius towards the south and 11 or 12 further north. Then as we go

02:59 into the beginning of next week and we do start to see something of a change, the jet

03:03 stream, which as I mentioned before, is currently running from west to east, starts to meander

03:08 a little bit. And instead, as we go through the first few days of next week, it's likely

03:13 to be coming from a northerly direction. We will see the low pressure that influences

03:17 us over the weekend, clearing towards the east. And then we end up sandwiched in between

03:22 that low pressure towards the east and high pressure towards the south southwest. If we

03:26 get rid of the jet stream then and put our surface winds on instead, you can see that's

03:30 likely to lead to a north northwesterly direction in our winds, which you probably are aware

03:36 is quite a chilly direction as well. Add to the fact that with low pressure towards the

03:41 east drifting away, we should start to see the more unsettled weather clearing away and

03:45 giving away to the more fine weather towards the southwest. The general trend for the beginning

03:50 part of next week at least is after a showery start for many of us, it should turn a little

03:55 bit drier for a time, particularly closer towards that area of high pressure. So towards

03:59 the southwest of the UK. And with that change in our wind direction, it is also likely to

04:04 turn a bit colder for a time. May not last particularly long with more unsettled weather

04:08 likely later on in the week. But if you want a more in depth look at what we can expect

04:12 through the end of meteorological autumn and into winter, do check out the 10 day trend

04:17 which Aidan put up on our YouTube channel on Wednesday. Otherwise, I'll see you soon.

04:21 Thank you.

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