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  • 10/13/2023
#StocksInFocus | #KesoramIndustries' revenue rises 12%, margin improves but company continues to report net loss.
In conversation with CEO P Radhakrishnan. #BQLive
Transcript
00:00 Hello and welcome to BQ Prime. A very good morning to all the viewers. I am Erul Dadya
00:05 and you're watching Stocks to Focus. Clearly, one company that reported numbers is Keso
00:10 Ram Industries. Revenues are up around 12% to 13%. EBITDA has seen a growth of around
00:16 30%, 32%. The losses have reduced as well. Joining us on the show to discuss more and
00:22 give us a strategy going ahead is Mr. P. Radhakrishnan, whole-time director and CEO at Keso Ram Industries.
00:28 Mr. Radhakrishnan, good morning and welcome to the show.
00:32 Good morning. Thank you.
00:34 Mr. Radhakrishnan, my first question coming to you is, has the number met your internal
00:41 expectations? Losses have reduced. And clearly, you know, previous quarter as well, you have
00:49 said that you're expecting to be back in the black soon.
00:52 Yes. Our numbers, we could have slightly done better on the realization front as well as
01:00 the volume front. But by and large, we are directionally going in the right direction.
01:07 For the whole year, we should be in the black if we go in this direction.
01:12 Okay. So, overall, if you see from the margins, yes, I have seen some bit of an improvement
01:21 that has come in this round. You were expecting the EBITDA to improve as well and from a per
01:29 ton basis. Where does it stand currently?
01:32 The EBITDA per ton currently stands at about 581 close to for the half year. We want to
01:43 move to between 650 to 700 is what we are targeting. Ideally, selling an 8 million ton
01:51 and somewhere around 650 is what our desire is EBITDA should be.
01:59 Okay. And in terms of the business segments as well, where are you seeing growth come
02:04 from going ahead between cement, the viscose rayon and the filament yarn?
02:11 So I see our subsidiary has got transparent paper and the yarn and parent mainstays cement.
02:21 We see a robust growth in cement, both on the retail segment as well as on the institutional
02:27 segment. And we also see a good traction of the rayon because it is a substitution for
02:33 silk as well as our transparent paper which is biodegradable and home compostable. It
02:40 is a replacement for plastic. Overall, we see good times ahead and things will improve
02:49 for Kesara.
02:50 Okay. And with that in mind, how is the capacity utilization looking like?
03:00 So clinker capacity is close to 94% around. So we can always scale up more the blended
03:09 cement we sell, better utilization of clinker we can do. That's where we should go for.
03:20 Without increasing or spending on capacity affects, we can go up to 8.5 to 9 million
03:27 sales.
03:30 Okay. And as you mentioned about the realization as well, was it lower say that range of 25
03:37 to 30 rupees per bag during the monsoon? And are you expecting a recovery from there taking
03:44 the way construction activities are picking up post-monsoon now?
03:48 Yeah, directionally it was lower because it's a monsoon quarter, but the volumes are robust,
03:53 the realizations were down, but it was compensated by cost largely. We expect the prices to go
04:03 up because for us as a company, the prices have doubled. So it is only logical the cement
04:11 price goes up and stabilizes. At least as I have said in the previous interviews too
04:18 that it should be about 80 rupees, 90 rupees per bag up. But we hope in Q3 and Q4, we will
04:25 be 30 to 40 rupees up from where we were in H4.
04:32 Okay. And in terms of cement sales, how much do you think you will be able to achieve in
04:39 terms of tons in FY24? Because clearly it's a record sale number in the first half, 3.73
04:46 million ton is what we've seen as compared to 3.19 in the same period last year. So would
04:52 it be right to say that, I mean, even if you go with the basic number, a double of 8 million
04:59 tons is what can be achieved or something higher than that is a possibility taking into
05:04 consideration that the construction activity will pick up?
05:06 Yeah, we are confident our guidance of 8 million ton, we should be able to achieve with a bit
05:13 of a stretch. So we are not saying now we will end up below 8 million tons. Our endeavour
05:20 is to achieve 8 million tons and it is reachable.
05:25 Okay. And as you've mentioned that you're not going to see a good amount of capex now
05:29 because the capacity is enough. What will that translate into if you have to look at
05:34 the full year EBITDA then?
05:37 So close to anywhere between 450 to, depending on the price, 450 to 500 crores of EBITDA
05:44 is what we should do. We should end up with.
05:48 Okay. And in terms of the packaging business, which is Cygnet, when do you expect it to
05:54 be cash positive?
05:57 From Q1 of FY25.
06:03 By then you would expect that business to be cash positive as well?
06:07 Yes.
06:08 Okay. Okay. And very lastly, you know, earlier we had been hearing that you will increase
06:16 capacity to almost 15 million tons, but that was in the next three to four years. Is that
06:22 plan on track currently? And if so, what will the spends look like?
06:27 So very much, we should get on the drawing board because it will be a brownfield. We
06:31 have adequate limestone reserves. We need to put up one more kiln and more spread with
06:38 the grinding units or mixing plant. That's the way we should go forward. So it's very
06:44 much on the radar. So the first priority is to sustainable level 8 million plus we should
06:49 say. And then we should refinance the existing high cost loan. Once these two are through,
07:00 then we will focus on how do we scale up our capacity.
07:06 Right. So my last question coming to you is we've spoken about what FY24 could look like,
07:13 but as a company, what's the next milestone that you want to achieve?
07:18 Two times a year, our debt should be somewhere between 1200 to 1200 crores. So if you have
07:28 a 500 crore company, our debt should be about 1000 crores.
07:32 Right. So any refinancing is planned in the second half?
07:38 Not substantial, but once the refinancing plans are afoot, probably we want to leap
07:44 from 19 percent to 11 to 12 percent interest. That's the way we are looking at. That will
07:51 bring in a saving of about 200 crores on the EBITDA itself. That will straight away increase
07:58 the cash availability for us.
08:01 Right. I think that's going to be a key one to monitor as well. Thank you so much, Mr.
08:07 Radhakrishnan, for joining us on the show and sharing the news. So clearly, that's the
08:11 management of KSORAM Industries and clearly very confident that they will probably get
08:18 into the black soon again in terms of FY24 as a year and lots of plans to improve performance
08:26 from here on as well as the balance sheet. That's all that we have on this session. Thanks
08:30 for watching. And lots more lined up on the other side. Please stay tuned to BQ Prime.
08:34 [MUSIC]
08:41 [END]

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