00:00 The Thai new government is still in a dilemma after three months of the election.
00:05 Can the political soap opera, which is difficult for the prime minister to produce, be able to draw a big number?
00:10 On Tuesday, August 22, the first batch of Thai leaders will be decided.
00:15 In addition to the two members of the Thai parliament, a new prime minister will be elected on this day.
00:19 There is also a key figure who has been in power for nearly 20 years in the Thai political circle.
00:23 That is, the former prime minister of Thailand, he is about to return to the country.
00:27 He used to speak in a high-pitched voice, will he find liberation for the Thai political situation?
00:31 Or will he stir up the Thai political scene again?
00:34 This year, 74-year-old Tahsin became the prime minister of Thailand in 2001.
00:39 Five years later, he was overthrown after encountering a military coup.
00:42 And he was sentenced to 10 years in prison for the crime of multiple corruption cases.
00:46 In order to avoid prison, Tahsin fled Thailand in 2008.
00:50 And this escape is 15 years.
00:53 In these years of exile overseas, Tahsin has been announcing that he will return to the country less than 20 times.
00:58 But every time it's a wolf coming.
01:01 Never stepped into Thailand.
01:04 And after getting a chance to form a group with the Thai party behind the ties with the Tahsin family.
01:08 The daughter of Tahsin, Pei Tongtan, also repeatedly reported the news of her father's return to the country.
01:13 From August 10 to 22,
01:16 Pei Tongtan even posted on Instagram to count down for her father's return to the country.
01:21 And Tahsin also personally confirmed to the media that he would definitely return to Thailand on the 22nd.
01:27 Will it be a wolf this time?
01:30 It's all unknown until tomorrow.
01:32 Thai scholars pointed out that Tahsin's return to the country on the 22nd
01:36 is the first term of the election with the Congress.
01:38 With his influence in the Thai political scene in the past,
01:41 it is possible to urge the lower house to vote to support the candidate for the Thai party.
01:45 At the same time, it is also possible to cause trouble to the upper house vote.
01:49 The outside world does not know if this operation is a coincidence or on purpose.
01:53 But Tahsin's return to the country has two possible outcomes.
01:58 First, if he is arrested or sentenced,
02:00 it is very likely to trigger a turmoil in Thai politics.
02:03 After all, the supporters of Tahsin can completely regroup
02:07 and create an impact on the military or royal family.
02:10 Then again, if Tahsin returns to the country smoothly
02:12 and is not arrested,
02:14 a certain degree of soft landing will be achieved.
02:16 The degree of splitting the Thai political scene may be aggravated.
02:20 After all, the pro-democracy party has now become a pro-wild party.
02:23 It will be suppressed by the military.
02:26 And Tahsin can take the opportunity to accumulate energy
02:28 and wait for the opportunity to rise again.
02:31 Although the outside world has a lot of criticism about Tahsin's return to the country,
02:34 his daughter Pei Tongtan said
02:36 that the decision of his father to return to the country has nothing to do with politics.
02:39 He just wants to return to the country and reunite with his family.
02:43 In 15 years, will Tahsin set foot on the Thai soil again tomorrow?
02:48 And is the door to prison waiting for him?
02:52 Even if Tahsin returns,
02:53 is it possible to start his "Tahsin 2.0" era?
02:57 What do you think?
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