Research shows Clinton would win presidential election over Trump
- 8 years ago
Hillary Clinton would have a significant electoral advantage over Donald Trump in the general election, based on an NPR analysis.
The former first lady would start out with exactly enough electoral votes to win the presidency, 270-191, based on states considered safe, likely and to lean toward either candidate.
The ratings, which will be updated at least monthly until Election Day, are based on fundamentals — historical trends and demographics, plus reporting and polling (both public and private).
But there is also the potential that this fall's presidential battlegrounds could be re-sorted — pitting white, working-class voters, whom Trump is appealing to, against Latino voters, who appear to be in Clinton's corner.
The former first lady would start out with exactly enough electoral votes to win the presidency, 270-191, based on states considered safe, likely and to lean toward either candidate.
The ratings, which will be updated at least monthly until Election Day, are based on fundamentals — historical trends and demographics, plus reporting and polling (both public and private).
But there is also the potential that this fall's presidential battlegrounds could be re-sorted — pitting white, working-class voters, whom Trump is appealing to, against Latino voters, who appear to be in Clinton's corner.